AgriLogic provides a unique, customized analysis to project future trends for over 150 crops and 40 livestock products. Different scenarios can be analyzed, accounting for changes in farm program policy, macro-economic policy, foreign trade, weather, and disease.

The analysis is based on our large-scale proprietary econometric models. These models are fully synchronized with the agricultural-related sectors, which allows feedback to occur between each sector, as demonstrated in the figure below. 

Supply and demand in the agriculture input sector is also accounted for in our models.  Prior to its development, no other company had this modeling capability; not for agriculture, not for agricultural related sectors, and not for the non-farm business sectors in the economy.

Below are some of the types of scenarios we have analyzed for our clients:

Farm Policy

• Change in commodity loan rates
• Various counter-cyclical payments approaches
• Various levels of AMTA payments
• Alternative acreage reduction programs

Macro

• Soft v. hard landing in U.S. economy
• Alternative monetary and fiscal policy in the United States
• Change in foreign monetary and fiscal policy
• Various oil price scenarios

Trade

• Impact from World Trade Organization policy
• Regional trade agreements

Weather and Disease

• Foot and mouth disease
• BSE implications
• Swine flu
• Transposing yield patterns into the future

More details on our farm policy modeling can be found by viewing: